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Polymarket Trader Eyes $400K Windfall on Fed Rate Decision Bet
Polymarket Trader Eyes $400K Windfall on Fed Rate Decision Bet
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A high-stakes gamble on Polymarket has captured attention as one trader risks $7,000 for a potential $400,000 payout should the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points. The platform shows 98% of bettors expect rates to hold steady, with only 1.9% anticipating a cut.
The Fed’s Wednesday decision carries outsized consequences for prediction market participants. While macroeconomic indicators suggest minimal chance of easing, the asymmetric payoff structure highlights prediction markets’ growing influence in pricing monetary policy outcomes.
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